Publications

A Legacy of Strategic Research

Strategic Foresight Group (SFG) has built a distinguished record of research through its publications. These studies explore the long-term forces shaping conflict, cooperation, and global change. At the same time, they examine emerging challenges and identify opportunities for constructive action. Our first report, The Future of Pakistan (2002), launched a programme to anticipate future risks and develop policy options. In doing so, it established the foundation for SFG’s distinctive approach to strategic analysis. Since then, SFG has published extensively across a wide range of global issues. Moreover, every publication combines forward-looking research with practical recommendations for policymakers and other stakeholders. As a result, this commitment has remained central to our work.

Addressing Global Challenges

Over more than two decades, our research has addressed both regional and international challenges. For example, we have explored the future of South Asia and analysed the costs of conflict in India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, and the Middle East. Through these studies, we have highlighted the human, economic, and political consequences of instability. At the same time, we have identified pathways towards greater cooperation and lasting peace. In addition, our Blue Peace publications have examined water cooperation in the Middle East, the Nile Basin, and the Indian subcontinent. Importantly, they demonstrate how shared water resources can become a foundation for trust, dialogue, and regional stability. More recently, our research has expanded to address the opportunities and risks created by new technologies. Specifically, this includes studies on artificial intelligence in nuclear command systems and the broader implications of advanced AI for global security.

A Resource for the Future

Together, these publications reflect the evolution of SFG’s research and its response to a changing world. Presented chronologically, they offer a clear record of our intellectual journey and policy engagement. Furthermore, they provide a valuable resource for policymakers, researchers, journalists, students, and anyone interested in global affairs. Ultimately, they demonstrate how ideas have developed over time while responding to emerging global priorities. Above all, they reflect SFG’s enduring commitment to evidence-based analysis that supports informed decisions on the world’s most complex challenges.

The Essential Convergence

The Essential Convergence focuses on extreme AI risks. It explores the convergence between various subnational, national and regional solutions presented in the Global North, as well as the Global South. It introduces a menu of a few integrated global proposals for discussion in diplomatic fora and elsewhere. It is prepared in collaboration with experts from several regions of the world.

India’s AI Gambit: Navigating the Global Race

India’s AI Gambit: Navigating the Global Race calls for moving beyond AI for All to embrace AI for Sovereignty, Science and Security. The report urges a collective national effort to weave AI into India’s long-term strategic thinking—linking innovation and inclusion with scientific progress and national security.

Framework for Responsible Use of AI in the Nuclear Domain

This policy brief coauthored by SFG and the Future of Life Institute (FLI) outlines the need for an international framework addressing the convergence of artificial intelligence (AI) and nuclear command, control, and communications (NC3) systems. 

New Existential Risks to Human Civilization

The growing interface between Artificial Intelligence, Nuclear Weapons and biotechnology can lead to a global war involving weapons of mass destruction by accident or intent. This paper examines various angles of the discourse.

Beyond 2030

The Global High Level Panel for Water and Peace underlined the need to have a long term perspective on water governance. In this bulletin we look at the world beyond 2030 to map multiple drivers that will impact the availability and governance of water.
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Beyond 2030

Financial Innovation

The Global High Level Panel on Water and Peace called for financial innovation to mobilize resources for the water sector, particularly for water cooperation. In this volume we look at some new instruments of innovative finance which can help mobilize resources in the times of boom, as well as recession.

Conference Reports

P5 Experts Roundtable- Online on AI- Nuclear Nexus

P5 Experts Roundtable on Nuclear Risk Reduction