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| SFG Brochure - 2008 |
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| We have provided a few excerpts from Strategic Foresight Group's latest brochure - 2008
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Publications and Research |
 Inclusive Semi-Permanent Conference for the MiddleEast
USD $ 20.INR Rs. 635 |
| Strategic Foresight Group presents its latest report on an innovative mechanism to find sustainable solution to conflicts in the Middle East. Foreword by The Rt. Hon. Lord Alderdice, former Speaker of the Northern Ireland Assembly
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Global Security and Economy: Emerging Issues, 2008
US$ 20 adn INR. 625 |
Strategic Foresight Group presents its report on issues that will have greatest impact on the 21st century. Surprises are in store. Will the United States and Iran enter into strategic cooperation? Will the technological base of the world economy change in a fundamental way by 2020? Will extremism replace terrorism as the greatest risk to global security? Will a new global philosophical discourse appear on the world stage? The report debates these and other critical issues. |
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An Inclusive World:
In which the West, Islam
and the Rest have a stake, 2007
US$ 15 or INR 625 |
 Available in Arabic.
The Institute for Peace Studies affiliated with the Suzanne Mubarak Women's International Peace Movement and hosted by the Bibliotheca Alexandrina issued an Arabic version of An Inclusive World.
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| The greatest challenge of the 21st century is for us to come together to discover our common identity, reaffirm and restore core human values, to appreciate our common history and to create a shared future. In order to shape an inclusive world in which the West, Islam and the Rest have a stake, it is necessary to shift from the centuries old model based on the doctrine of force, to a model based on the collaborative harnessing of the spirit of humanity. The use of force in the name of religion, ideology, race or other belief systems underpins the pursuit of power. It is in the essential nature of states to seek and expand power. It is in the essential nature of human beings to explore the principles of co-existence. We need to achieve a basic balance between power and principles. An Inclusive World: In which the West, Islam and the Rest have a stake, is an essay deriving insight from a study of incidences of terror in all parts of the world and reviews why terrorism takes places in all parts of the world – Latin America, Africa, Asia and the Middle East. It examines why extremism may replace terrorism as the greatest threat to world security and engulf politics of the United States and Europe. It exposes contradictions in self serving Eastern and Western discourse. It also envisages the framework for a sustainable global security architecture, where co-existence triumphs over discord and hope wins over fear. It proposes building blocs of an alternative future that are politically feasible as well as presents action plans for a series of initiatives for leaders, experts, and civilians to collaborate on. |
 The Third International Roundtable Outcome Report
Constructing Peace Deconstructing Terror, 2006
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| The Outcome Report of the Third International Roundtable on Constructing Peace, Deconstructing Terror highlights the important conclusions drawn from the roundtable held at the European Parliament in Brussels, 2006 and attended by 40 senior parliamentarians and ministers from European and Islamic countries, conducted under Chatham House Rules and closed to media. It also provides a unique insight into the history of the sustainable global security initiative organized and done in partnership with the ALDE group in the European Parliament.
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 Report of the
International Workshop on Global Extremism, Terror and Response Strategies, 2006 |
| The Alexandria workshop report is the culmination of a workshop conducted by the Strategic Foresight Group with the SMWIPM Institute for Peace Studies at Bibliotheca Alexandrina, Egypt which brought together 20 experts from different parts of the world to present analysis on terrorism and extremism in their respective regions as well as their respective suggestions for addressing the problem. The report also analyses the problems of terrorism and extremism through the global and regional paradigm.
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 Cost of Conflict in Sri Lanka, 2006
US$ 30 or INR 625
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| Cost of Conflict in Sri Lanka report uses creative analytical tools developed by the Strategic Foresight Group to assess the impact of conflict on different sections of Sri Lankan economy and society as well as its comprehensive impact on the future of the nation. The report builds on and studies not only the direct costs of conflict such as human deaths, increased military expenditure, or economic losses in the form of lowered foreign direct investment or losses in tourism. But, it also studies the effects of a two decade plus conflict in promoting societal corrosion and segregation, political polarization and extremism and regional disparity. The report also provides 2005-2010 scenarios for Sri Lanka under the differing situations of peace, ceasefire and conflict.
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 Second Freedom South Asian Challenge 2005-2025, 2005
US$ 25 or INR 625
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The objective of this report is to examine the challenges facing South Asia in the next 20 years at a time when the region is likely to be influenced by global developments as well internal dynamics. The report studies the various economic, social, political, security sectors in India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Nepal to come up with future projections for each of these individual nations as well as the common reality for the region. The report demonstrates the factors likely to affect the region from 2005-2025 and the impact it is likely to have on the region. It states that South Asia will encounter a world where the basic concepts of sovereignty of state, separation of religion and polity, and the unity of super-force and super-power will be challenged, and the world will see a shift from the West to the East. It also studies the impact of changes in geopolitics in the neighboring region, the impact of wildcards such as path breaking technological innovation and development or the use of a nuclear weapon by a state or non state actor.
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 The Final Settlement: Restructuring India-Pakistan Relations, 2005
US$ 22 or INR 250 |
The International Herald Tribune calls it ‘Kashmir’s real story!” The Final Settlement: Restructuring India-Pakistan Relations, is an honest, though biting analysis of the psychology and ground realities of the two countries based on the comprehensive understanding of developments taking place over the last three decades. The conflict between India and Pakistan currently extends to the entire South Asian region, from Afghanistan to Bangladesh. Of this wide spread conflict, the Jammu & Kashmir component is known internationally. The Jammu & Kashmir issue itself has several dimensions. To India, it is a test of secularism. To Pakistan, it is a source of strategically important rivers. To the people of Jammu & Kashmir, it is a matter of living in peace with dignity. Therefore, in all its complexity, the search of a final settlement between the two must be based on an analysis of the three essential elements in the bilateral relationship – fire, water and earth. In this report, SFG states that a final settlement between the two will have to be based on realistic analysis of the water situation in the entire Indus River Basin – an element, hitherto unknown.
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 Brussels Consensus, 2004 |
The Brussels Consensus was the document on the principles and policies for a safer world that was adopted by the participants of the Second International Roundtable at the European Parliament. The Brussels Consensus is a set of innovative policy measures, including principles of sustainable global security, zero tolerance for acts of terror, a strategy of disaggregation while dealing with groups engaging in terror, and international cooperation for the transformation of societies at risk.
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 Pakistan's Provinces, 2004
US$ 15 or INR 295
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Pakistan’s biggest challenge will be in the context of relations between the federal government and the provinces. The future of Pakistan's provinces will have bearing on geo-politics of the entire region. Any tension between NWFP and the rest of Pakistan will impact Afghanistan. Problems in Balochistan will affect Afghanistan and Iran. Friction between Punjab and Sindh can cause, in the extreme case, massive refugee influx into India. Thus, the future of Pakistan's provinces will subtly govern the future of extended South Asia. An analysis of Pakistan's provinces, at this juncture, is thus pertinent and Pakistan’s Provinces does just that. The study begins with a macro overview of Pakistan's economy followed by inter-provincial comparisons that are based on our understanding of Pakistan's economy and society. The subsequent chapters deal with each province separately. Finally, our perspectives are synthesized in an effort to outline future scenarios for Pakistan.
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 Cost of Conflict between India and Pakistan, 2004
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For the first time in the 57 years of hostility between India and Pakistan a comprehensive assessment of the cost of conflict between the two countries has been made by Strategic Foresight Group in this report. The past assessment of the cost of conflict has been limited to military expenditure and opportunity cost of trade. The Cost of Conflict between India and Pakistan, takes into account comprehensive economic costs, socio-political damage, military costs, diplomatic costs, human costs and even the implications of the nuking of Mumbai and Karachi. The report has also estimated Gross Terror-economy Product (GTP) of Kashmir and Pakistan and likely financial and human costs that the two countries will incur in the next five years if they do not consolidate the gains made at the SAARC Summit at Islamabad in January 2004. It is a rare document, presented in graphical form for easy and quick comprehension by decision makers.
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 Shifting Sands: Instability in Undefined Asia, 2003
US$ 60 or INR 1350
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Launched on the eve of the US attack on Iraq, Shifting Sands: Instability in Undefined Asia addresses tensions between the impact of events and underlying structural realities in Undefined Asia – consisting of Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iran, Iraq and Saudi Arabia. Though undefined as it is outside any established institutional arrangements or group of nations, it is interlinked by oil, terrorism, and strategic concerns of big powers. As the US military involvement in Afghanistan and Iraq creates a spell of uncertainty many questions are bound to come to surface. Will the US actions in Undefined Asia primarily determine the future of the region? Or are there internal dynamics, which render US actions superficial? Many of the predictions made in Shifting Sands have proved to be correct within a few months of its publication. The report had predicted the withdrawal of American forces from Saudi Arabia, armed skirmishes between Afghanistan and Pakistan, rise of terrorism in Undefined Asia following the US victory in Baghdad. Many other predictions await the test of time. In order to understand what will happen in the world’s largest hot spot in the first decade of the twenty first century, the report is a must read for everyone.
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 Rethinking India’s Future: Prosperity of the Periphery, 2002
US$ 25 or INR 625
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The report outlines India’s development model that has created three economies- business class, bike and bullock cart economy. Will this division of the Indian economy cause a division of the Indian mind, or will unity of the Indian mind lead to the integration and transformation of the Indian economy? What does the future hold for India? Three scenarios have been put forward: Breakdown, Break-up and Breakthrough. What will be the appropriate strategies to make the best scenario possible? Will India manage to place herself in a virtuous cycle of prosperity and peace? This report provides insightful and innovate answers to these questions. It is essential reading for anyone who is interested in India’s future.
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 The Future of Pakistan, 2002
US$ 45 or INR 1050 |
The Future of Pakistan looks at Pakistan in view of its central role in the war in Afghanistan. General Pervez Musharraf has supported the US led coalition and vowed to free Pakistan of sectarianism and terrorism. Can he succeed? How long will he survive in the hot seat in Rawalpindi? What will be the policies of his successor? Will orthodox religious forces seize control of the Pakistani state, and if so when? How will Pakistan’s economy perform in the next ten years? Will there be adequate food and water? Will Sindh and Baluchistan try to separate from Pakistan? Will there be a war between India and Pakistan? What will be the cause of the next major India-Pakistan war, since it will not be over Kashmir? Will nuclear weapons be used? The report answers the above questions and more, using scientific methods of strategic foresight. Since its publication in May 2002, many of the forecasts made in the report have already come true.
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